PCE vs Unemployment — Compare on Scrolld®

Compare PCE and Unemployment side by side on Scrolld with a Pearson correlation computed over their shared observation window.

Correlation

PCE and Unemployment moved with a Pearson correlation of -0.0726 on percentage-point changes (rate) and returns (index).

Computed on 811 common months, 1959-01-31 to 2026-08-31.

Aligned by calendar month using the last available observation in each month.

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index — historical observations

812 observations from 1959-01-01 to 2026-08-01. Frequency: monthly.

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index — historical observations232 points from 1959-01-01 to 2026-08-01; first 15.164 Index 2017=100, last 131.579 Index 2017=100; range 15.164–131.579 Index 2017=100.15.164 Index 2017=1001959-01-01131.579 Index 2017=1002026-08-01
The chart shows 232 sampled observations, retaining the minimum and maximum of each time bucket. Statistics use all 812 observations.

Statistics over the available window

Latest recorded value: 131.579 Index 2017=100 on . Minimum: 15.164 Index 2017=100. Maximum: 131.579 Index 2017=100. Arithmetic mean: 61.6619 Index 2017=100. Observation count: 812. First date: . Last date: .

1-month change: 0.407 Index 2017=100 (0.31%), from 131.172 Index 2017=100 on to 131.579 Index 2017=100 on .

1-year change: 4.35 Index 2017=100 (3.42%), from 127.229 Index 2017=100 on to 131.579 Index 2017=100 on .

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index: 24 most recent observations, newest first (Index 2017=100)
Observation dateRecorded value
131.579 Index 2017=100
131.172 Index 2017=100
131.106 Index 2017=100
131.241 Index 2017=100
130.672 Index 2017=100
130.105 Index 2017=100
129.293 Index 2017=100
128.845 Index 2017=100
128.455 Index 2017=100
128.045 Index 2017=100
127.79 Index 2017=100
127.601 Index 2017=100
127.229 Index 2017=100
126.906 Index 2017=100
126.73 Index 2017=100
126.408 Index 2017=100
126.163 Index 2017=100
125.869 Index 2017=100
125.77 Index 2017=100
125.423 Index 2017=100
124.984 Index 2017=100
124.666 Index 2017=100
124.482 Index 2017=100
124.146 Index 2017=100

Unemployment Rate — historical observations

943 observations from 1948-01-01 to 2026-08-01. Frequency: monthly.

Unemployment Rate — historical observations236 points from 1948-01-01 to 2026-08-01; first 3.4 Percent, last 4.1 Percent; range 2.5–14.8 Percent.3.4%1948-01-014.1%2026-08-01
The chart shows 236 sampled observations, retaining the minimum and maximum of each time bucket. Statistics use all 943 observations.

Statistics over the available window

Latest recorded value: 4.1% on . Minimum: 2.5%. Maximum: 14.8%. Arithmetic mean: 5.6545%. Observation count: 943. First date: . Last date: .

1-month change: 0% (0.00%), from 4.1% on to 4.1% on .

1-year change: -0.2% (-4.65%), from 4.3% on to 4.1% on .

Unemployment Rate: 24 most recent observations, newest first (Percent)
Observation dateRecorded value
4.1%
4.1%
4.2%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
4.4%
4.3%
4.4%
4.5%
4.4%
4.3%
4.3%
4.1%
4.3%
4.2%
4.2%
4.2%
4%
4.1%
4.2%
4.1%
4.1%
4.2%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (FRED series PCEPI), via FRED. Public domain; credit Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (FRED series UNRATE), via FRED. Public domain; credit Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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