Regime Monitor · series FRED: T10Y2Y — Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread · generated 2026-09-23
Where Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread stands in its own history.
Where Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread stands in its own history. These observations do not establish causes or predict future readings. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: latest reading. As of 2026-09-22. Unit: percentage points. Source: fred-t10y2y-base. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: level on 2026-09-22 0.2500 percentage points. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: full-history percentile. As of 2026-09-22. Unit: percent. Reference window: full history. Observed dates: 1976-06-01 to 2026-09-22. Lower means strictly below the latest level. Full-history percentile: historical percentile 27.6% over ten years. The latest reading stands in the second fifth of its history since 1976. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: trailing ten-year percentile. As of 2026-09-22. Unit: percent. Reference window: trailing ten years. Observed dates: 2016-09-22 to 2026-09-22. Lower means strictly below the latest level. Trailing ten-year percentile: historical percentile 38.9% over ten years. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: long-run median over the full history. Unit: percentage points. Median of every observation from 1976-06-01 to 2026-09-22. Long-run median: median level 0.7700 percentage points. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: latest reading minus the long-run median. Unit: percentage points. Difference between the latest level and the long-run median. A rate or spread distance is in percentage points, not a percent of the median. Distance from the long-run median: 0.52 percentage points below its median. Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: twelve-month change. Unit: percentage points. Observed dates: from 2025-09-22 to 2026-09-22. Difference between the dated observations. Twelve-month change: Net change total -0.29 percentage points. Observed levels from 2016-09-30 to 2026-09-22. Unit: percentage points. Daily and weekly series are drawn as the last observation of each calendar month in the trailing ten-year window. Months the source does not publish are not filled. FRED: Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread — T10Y2Y. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, via FRED; reuse with attribution https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y. As of 2026-09-22. These readings are descriptive only. The percentile ignores structural change. Percentiles are rounded for display; position bands use unrounded values. The source is FRED. These observations do not establish causes or predict future readings.
Ten-year minus two-year Treasury spread: where it stands on Scrolld